Post by account_disabled on Mar 4, 2024 3:45:16 GMT
It is shocking how quickly the pandemic has spread, despite all efforts to stop it. On February 1, the first day covid-19 appeared on the cover of The Economist, the World Health Organization counted 2,115 new cases. On June 28, its daily reports reached 190,000. That day, more new cases were reported every 90 minutes than had been recorded in total until February 1. The world is not experiencing a second wave: it never got over the first. About 10 million people are known to have been infected. Almost everywhere has recorded cases (although Turkmenistan and North Korea do not, nor does Antarctica). For every country such as China, Taiwan and Vietnam that seems to be able to contain the virus, there are many others in Latin America and South Asia where it is raging. Others, including the United States, are at risk of losing control or, in much of Africa, are in the early stages of the epidemic. Europe is somewhere in between.
The worst is yet to come. Based on studies Cambodia WhatsApp Number Data conducted in 84 countries, a team at the Massachusetts Institute of Technology calculates that, for every recorded case, 12 go unreported, and that for every two covid-19 deaths counted, a third are attributable to causes others. Without a medical breakthrough, the report says, the total number of cases will rise to 200-600 million by the spring of 2021. By that point, between 1.4 million and 3.7 million people will have died. Even then, over 90% of the world's population will still be vulnerable to infection – even more so if the immunity turns out to be temporary. The actual outcome depends on how societies manage the disease. This is where the news gets better. Epidemiologists understand how to stop covid-19. You can get it indoors, in crowds, when people raise their voices. The poor are more vulnerable, as are the elderly and those with other illnesses.
You can stop the virus with three tactics: behavior change; testing-tracing-isolation; and, if these fail, blockades or isolations like those of March. The worse a country is with testing – and many governments have failed to build sufficient capacity – the more it should fall to the other two tactics. Good public health need not be expensive. Dharavi, a slum of 850,000 people in Mumbai, managed to contain an explosion. Read also: Actor Muharrem Hoxha tearfully confesses that he lost his wife after being infected with Covid Flu or COVID in Albania? Virologist: It could be the JN1 variant Treatments have improved, thanks to studies and treatment of patients. Although mass vaccination is still months away, at best, the first therapies are available. More is known about how to manage the disease – don't rush to put people on ventilators, but get them on oxygen as early as possible. Better treatment helps explain why the proportion of hospital patients who continued to be admitted to intensive care fell in Britain from 12% at the end of March to 4% at the end of May. And economies have adapted. They are still suffering, of course.
The worst is yet to come. Based on studies Cambodia WhatsApp Number Data conducted in 84 countries, a team at the Massachusetts Institute of Technology calculates that, for every recorded case, 12 go unreported, and that for every two covid-19 deaths counted, a third are attributable to causes others. Without a medical breakthrough, the report says, the total number of cases will rise to 200-600 million by the spring of 2021. By that point, between 1.4 million and 3.7 million people will have died. Even then, over 90% of the world's population will still be vulnerable to infection – even more so if the immunity turns out to be temporary. The actual outcome depends on how societies manage the disease. This is where the news gets better. Epidemiologists understand how to stop covid-19. You can get it indoors, in crowds, when people raise their voices. The poor are more vulnerable, as are the elderly and those with other illnesses.
You can stop the virus with three tactics: behavior change; testing-tracing-isolation; and, if these fail, blockades or isolations like those of March. The worse a country is with testing – and many governments have failed to build sufficient capacity – the more it should fall to the other two tactics. Good public health need not be expensive. Dharavi, a slum of 850,000 people in Mumbai, managed to contain an explosion. Read also: Actor Muharrem Hoxha tearfully confesses that he lost his wife after being infected with Covid Flu or COVID in Albania? Virologist: It could be the JN1 variant Treatments have improved, thanks to studies and treatment of patients. Although mass vaccination is still months away, at best, the first therapies are available. More is known about how to manage the disease – don't rush to put people on ventilators, but get them on oxygen as early as possible. Better treatment helps explain why the proportion of hospital patients who continued to be admitted to intensive care fell in Britain from 12% at the end of March to 4% at the end of May. And economies have adapted. They are still suffering, of course.